Posted by: jeanne | June 6, 2009

airline sales way down since swine flu

this is a post copied from avian flu talk, and it has interesting implications for my trip.

Flu outbreaks damage China’s tourism industry

Travel & Leisure

4 June 2009

Since the outbreak of the H1N1 flu virus, China’s tourism industry has been hit hard. Many people with international travel plans during the annual Dragon Boat Festival season appear to have delayed their trips. Travel agencies are experiencing massive cancellations of tours.

The China News Agency reported that according to CITS (China International Travel Service), since the H1N1 flu virus outbreak, the majority of travel reservations to Europe, America, and Japan have been cancelled. There has been more than a 50% decrease in sales for the regular routes. Compared to the same period last year, some individual routes even had more than a 70% decline in business.

Since the H1N1 flu cases were confirmed in China, some countries issued warnings to tourists who planned to travel to China. As a result, travel to China has also been affected. In early May, the CITS recorded a 50 to 70%decrease in tourist applications from overseas compared to the same period last year.

Epoch Times reports that a  correspondent of CITS indicated that the tourism market is still popular, though it is somewhat suppressed due to people’s fear of the flu outbreak. To meet the market demand, CITS will continue to promote neighboring scenic sites, eco-tours, holiday vacation packages, and so forth to entice city dwellers to experience nature while also staying away from the flu.

comment: This is odd. they are only reporting a few dozen cases. Who knows something we don’t?  And why is China on the hit list more than the real outbreak places such as Australia and Mexico. The massive impact on the economy and tourism keeps accurate report of the spread of swine flu in China nearly impossible to track. Ironically this is place where WHO is agonizing going to level 6 because of the protest of member nations it will hurt their economy. Mmmmmm.

Medclinician

the part i’m interested in is this, even tho it appears to refer to air routes into and within china:

There has been more than a 50% decrease in sales for the regular routes. Compared to the same period last year, some individual routes even had more than a 70% decline in business.

that means that there will be sales on my routes between the beginning and the end of summer, so i need to wait.

i need to wait, at any rate, to see what happens with swine flu. with exponential growth happening now thruout the world, within three months the maximum number of people should be sick at once, and thereafter it declines quickly. normally. unless there’s another wave in the fall, which is expected. three months from when it hit the states (mid-april) is july 15th. by then we should know. by then there might be whopping great sales, or some airlines might have ceased to fly because of our continuing economy, so i need to wait. three months from a second wave in august is october, which is when i’m planning my trip. so we’ll see altogether.

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